Well, folks, it's 6 months early, but I'm going to go ahead and forecast my predictions for the election results of November 2010.
Senate: +10 Republican (I thought this wouldn't happen, but if even Barbara Boxer is slipping, then anything is possible). Senate control flips by 1 vote to Republicans.
House of Representatives: +60. I was saying +40, but as I look at what few votes we have, and the votes that have been taken in the past six months for little things like judiciaries and such, it looks more and more like a freakin' tidal wave. Given that the target to flip control is 217, and they 178, that's 39 needed -- and well exceeded. Control flips to Republicans with room to spare.
Governors: +14 Republicans.
I'd say at a minimum, assuming everything broke the Democrats way, the worst the Republicans are going to do is:
Senate: +6 Republicans. Dems 53, Reps 47. Dems retain Control
House: +40 Republicans. Reps 218. Reps take Control, with no room to spare.
Governor: +10 Republicans. Even here, the majority of governorships will be Republicans.
So, my forecast is an overwhelming Republican vote (though it will mostly be a gigantic protest against the backroom-dealing, special-interest-begging, closed-door b.s. the Dems promised NOT to do). Even in the worst of worlds for Republicans, they'll still take the majority of governorships and they'll take control of the House. They'll also have a close enough vote in the Senate that how that body acts will change.
Special Forecast:
Harry Reid loses his seat either way.
Barbara Boxer loses her Senate seat by 2 points.
Illinois votes for a Republican governor and fills the once-Obama Senate seat with a Republican.
Arlen "I won't change parties, I swear; now, let me change parties, so they can count on my loyalty!" Specter loses his Senate seat in Pennsylvania to Pat Toomey. Republicans everywhere laugh. Long and hard.
No matter what she does, Blanche Lincoln in Arkansas is toast, plain and simple. She won't be able to escape her vote on health-care... and she'll have a LOT of company in that respect.
See ya'll in November.
(And I'm in Illinois, which means I can cast my own vote toward my special forecasts! Yeah!)
Wednesday, March 31, 2010
Sunday, March 28, 2010
Obama and the policy of betrayal
So, let's consider the Obama foreign policy promises: hire him, and other countries would start working with us because they like him better; hire him, and China and Russia would work with him rather than dumb-down everything being tried; hire him, and he'd talk to dictators as in Iran, and they'd all back down and stop doing the bad things. Hire him, and our alliances would be stronger and more robust...
Now, one year later, we have a clear vision of the reality of Barack Obama:
-- we reneged on the promise to deploy antimissile defenses in Poland and Czech, telling the press BEFORE telling our allies in those two countries and without any advance notice to them;
-- we have systematically destroyed the relationships with our traditional allies, starting with the insults to the British (now too many to count, DVDs and returned gifts and disrespecting their traditions and on and on), insults FROM the French about how "naive" and "stupid" Obama is, with the same from Germany. We've labelled Israel the chief enemy to peace in the Middle East, despite their having literally given everything they'd been asked to give twice in the past, only to have the Palestinians then up the ante once again -- despite being on the receiving end of actual violence; despite being surrounded by countries and the Palestinians who have said flatly that Israel didn't have the right to exist. We've exchanged gifts with Chavez and kow-towed to the Russians and Chinese ... and Chavez continues his crackdown on anyone who disagrees with him and on centralizing his dictatorship; and Russia continues to work with Iran, as does China, while both force us from the promise of "forceful sanctions" against Iran to the pathetic "we'll settle for what the Russians are offering" (aka more of the same weak, incomplete, and utterly useless sanctions, on par with past sanctions and "condemnations" from the UN).
Hm... let's see. Our traditional allies -- England, France, Israel, and (in the past 50 years) Germany, Czech, Poland, we've actively insulted them, ignored them while betraying them and reneging on our commitments to them. Our enemies -- the President bows to them, exchanges gifts with them, and has budged NOT ONE of them to change their course. He has, however, managed to remain silent for weeks while the people in Iran rose up and tried to overthrow the dictators who rule them.
Anyone who thought Obama would be anything BUT an appeaser has more than enough evidence now that Appeasement is now the rule of the land, as far as foreign policy is concerned. Literally, appeasement, even to the point of betraying, ignoring, and insulting our allies, if that's what the bad guys insist on.
God help this country make it to 2012, when it can hire someone else who isn't an appeasement-type, who cares more about having the respect of foreign leaders instead of their "liking" him/her. Someone who will stand up for the values and ideals that made this country what it is and has been -- rather than someone who goes abroad and gives speeches insulting this country, demeaning its contributions, and literally lying to inflate the contributions of our enemies (specifically, Islam had nothing to do with the creation of mathematics, Mister Obama, who made the claim while in Egypt -- the ancient Babylonians might have something to say, like, um, try looking up the history you're citing, Mr. Obama, so you can do it accurately?).
Now, one year later, we have a clear vision of the reality of Barack Obama:
-- we reneged on the promise to deploy antimissile defenses in Poland and Czech, telling the press BEFORE telling our allies in those two countries and without any advance notice to them;
-- we have systematically destroyed the relationships with our traditional allies, starting with the insults to the British (now too many to count, DVDs and returned gifts and disrespecting their traditions and on and on), insults FROM the French about how "naive" and "stupid" Obama is, with the same from Germany. We've labelled Israel the chief enemy to peace in the Middle East, despite their having literally given everything they'd been asked to give twice in the past, only to have the Palestinians then up the ante once again -- despite being on the receiving end of actual violence; despite being surrounded by countries and the Palestinians who have said flatly that Israel didn't have the right to exist. We've exchanged gifts with Chavez and kow-towed to the Russians and Chinese ... and Chavez continues his crackdown on anyone who disagrees with him and on centralizing his dictatorship; and Russia continues to work with Iran, as does China, while both force us from the promise of "forceful sanctions" against Iran to the pathetic "we'll settle for what the Russians are offering" (aka more of the same weak, incomplete, and utterly useless sanctions, on par with past sanctions and "condemnations" from the UN).
Hm... let's see. Our traditional allies -- England, France, Israel, and (in the past 50 years) Germany, Czech, Poland, we've actively insulted them, ignored them while betraying them and reneging on our commitments to them. Our enemies -- the President bows to them, exchanges gifts with them, and has budged NOT ONE of them to change their course. He has, however, managed to remain silent for weeks while the people in Iran rose up and tried to overthrow the dictators who rule them.
Anyone who thought Obama would be anything BUT an appeaser has more than enough evidence now that Appeasement is now the rule of the land, as far as foreign policy is concerned. Literally, appeasement, even to the point of betraying, ignoring, and insulting our allies, if that's what the bad guys insist on.
God help this country make it to 2012, when it can hire someone else who isn't an appeasement-type, who cares more about having the respect of foreign leaders instead of their "liking" him/her. Someone who will stand up for the values and ideals that made this country what it is and has been -- rather than someone who goes abroad and gives speeches insulting this country, demeaning its contributions, and literally lying to inflate the contributions of our enemies (specifically, Islam had nothing to do with the creation of mathematics, Mister Obama, who made the claim while in Egypt -- the ancient Babylonians might have something to say, like, um, try looking up the history you're citing, Mr. Obama, so you can do it accurately?).
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