predictions for november 2010

Well, folks, it's 6 months early, but I'm going to go ahead and forecast my predictions for the election results of November 2010.
Senate: +10 Republican (I thought this wouldn't happen, but if even Barbara Boxer is slipping, then anything is possible). Senate control flips by 1 vote to Republicans.
House of Representatives: +60. I was saying +40, but as I look at what few votes we have, and the votes that have been taken in the past six months for little things like judiciaries and such, it looks more and more like a freakin' tidal wave. Given that the target to flip control is 217, and they 178, that's 39 needed -- and well exceeded. Control flips to Republicans with room to spare.
Governors: +14 Republicans.

I'd say at a minimum, assuming everything broke the Democrats way, the worst the Republicans are going to do is:
Senate: +6 Republicans. Dems 53, Reps 47. Dems retain Control
House: +40 Republicans. Reps 218. Reps take Control, with no room to spare.
Governor: +10 Republicans. Even here, the majority of governorships will be Republicans.

So, my forecast is an overwhelming Republican vote (though it will mostly be a gigantic protest against the backroom-dealing, special-interest-begging, closed-door b.s. the Dems promised NOT to do). Even in the worst of worlds for Republicans, they'll still take the majority of governorships and they'll take control of the House. They'll also have a close enough vote in the Senate that how that body acts will change.

Special Forecast:
Harry Reid loses his seat either way.
Barbara Boxer loses her Senate seat by 2 points.
Illinois votes for a Republican governor and fills the once-Obama Senate seat with a Republican.
Arlen "I won't change parties, I swear; now, let me change parties, so they can count on my loyalty!" Specter loses his Senate seat in Pennsylvania to Pat Toomey. Republicans everywhere laugh. Long and hard.
No matter what she does, Blanche Lincoln in Arkansas is toast, plain and simple. She won't be able to escape her vote on health-care... and she'll have a LOT of company in that respect.

See ya'll in November.
(And I'm in Illinois, which means I can cast my own vote toward my special forecasts! Yeah!)